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Glossary

What is the Triggon Score?

The Triggon Score is a single number from 0 to 100 that ranks a Strategy on its own recorded trades. It combines six published inputs through a weighted geometric mean, so a serious weakness in any one of them pulls the whole Score down instead of being averaged away by the others, and every performance figure inside it is shrunk toward a neutral reference until the record is long enough to support it.

The six inputs and their weights

Published, because a ranking you cannot inspect is a ranking you have to take on faith. Four of them describe what the Strategy did; two describe how much evidence there is that it did it on purpose.

CAGR (annualised return)25%
Win rate20%
Profit factor20%
Maximum drawdown20%
Number of trades7.5%
Days active7.5%

Each raw figure passes through a saturating transform before it is weighted, so there is a natural ceiling on every input. A Strategy cannot buy its way to a high Score with one absurd number, because past a certain point that number stops earning anything.

The four performance inputs carry 0.85 of the weight between them. The remaining 0.15 belongs to trade count and days active, which is deliberately small: they are not achievements, they are the confidence in everything else.

Why a geometric mean rather than an average

This is the design decision that shapes every Score on the platform, and it is the one worth understanding before you read a number.

An average lets a strength pay for a weakness

Weight the six inputs and add them up, and a spectacular return can carry a Strategy whose drawdown would have taken your account apart. The arithmetic quietly decides that those two facts cancel. For anyone deciding whether they could have held the position, they do not cancel at all.

A geometric mean refuses the trade

Multiply the components instead, each raised to its weight, and a value near zero in any one of them drags the whole result toward zero however good the rest are. The Score is non-compensatory on purpose: it will not let a Strategy be excellent on average while being unsurvivable in one specific way.

What that means when you read one. A high Triggon Score is a claim that nothing in the record is badly broken, not a claim that something in it is outstanding. Those are different statements, and the second one is the one most rankings actually make.

Three things the Score refuses to take at face value

The win rate is read at its lower bound, not as reported

A raw win rate says nothing about how confident you can be in it. Three trades and three wins is 100%; four hundred trades and two hundred and forty-eight wins is 62%. The Score uses the lower bound of the statistical confidence interval around the win rate rather than the percentage itself, which means the small sample is scored close to the bottom of what it could plausibly be and the large one close to what it is.

The effect is that a short lucky run cannot outrank a long consistent one on this input, and the Provider does not need to do anything for that to be true.

The return is annualised, not accumulated

Cumulative profit rewards a Strategy for having existed longer, which is not a skill. The Score uses CAGR, the annualised rate, so a Strategy that has run for two months and one that has run for two years are compared on the same basis.

Annualising a short window is noisy in the other direction: a good month extrapolates to an absurd year. That is exactly why the credibility factor below exists, and the two changes are a matched pair rather than two separate ideas.

Every performance figure is shrunk toward a neutral reference

Profit factor, CAGR and drawdown are each pulled back toward a cautious default in proportion to how little evidence stands behind them. The amount of pull comes from a credibility factor built from two curves: how many trades the record contains, which stops counting new evidence at around three hundred, and how many days it has been active, which stays deliberately low for the first couple of months and rises through the following few.

A new Strategy is not being punished for being new. It is being scored on the evidence it has actually produced, and it climbs as that evidence accumulates without anyone intervening.

Unranked, Provisional, and the five levels

The number and the badge are not the same thing. A Strategy can have a Score before it has earned the right to wear a level.

UnrankedBelow the eligibility gate. A Strategy needs a minimum number of closed trades and a minimum number of live days before it is ranked at all.
ProvisionalThe Score is computed and shown, but the level is withheld, because a rank the record does not yet support is a claim rather than a measurement.
Starter, from 0Ranked, and early. The Score is real; there is simply not much of a record behind it yet.
Rising, from 35A record with enough behind it to be read, performing acceptably across the six inputs.
Elite, from 65Strong across every input rather than strong in one. The geometric mean makes this harder to reach than an average would.
Pro, from 85Sustained, credible performance with no weak dimension. Rare, and it has to keep being true.
Apex, from 95The top of the ladder. A boundary always resolves upward, so exactly 95.0 is Apex.

A level is recomputed from the record every time it is shown. Nothing here is awarded once and kept.

What the Triggon Score is not

Not a prediction

Every input is computed from trades that have already closed. A high Score describes a record, and a record is a description of one market period.

Not a recommendation

It ranks Strategies against each other on measurable properties. Whether one suits your capital, your risk tolerance or your timing is a question it does not ask.

Not a substitute for the record

The whole point of publishing the weights is that you can go and check what produced the number. Open the trade list and read it.

Not a verification

The Score measures performance. The checkmark describes how the record was kept. A Strategy can be verified and score poorly, and that combination is honest rather than contradictory.

Read the record the Score came from.

Every Strategy publishes the trades behind its number, and you can go through all of them before you decide anything.